Extratropical cyclones often cause high-impact weather such as strong winds, heavy rainfall and severe snowfall. However, medium range (3-7days) forecasts of extratropical cyclones, especially exact locations of their centers and strength, are often quite inaccurate. These forecasts errors may be due to model errors or uncertainties in initial conditions, thus it is of value to investigate how these forecasts depend on the initial conditions. In this study, medium range ensemble sensitivity analysis is applied to examine how the evolution of selected extreme Pacific cyclones depend on the initial conditions.

Diese Veranstaltung ist Teil der Reihe Karlsruher Meteorologisches Kolloquium

Referent/in
Prof. Dr. Edmund K. M. Chang

Stony Brook University, USA
Institute for Terrestrial and Planetary Atmospheres at the School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences

Veranstalter
Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung - Atmosphärische Umweltforschung (IMK-IFU)
Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)
Kreuzeckbahnstraße 19
82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen
E-Mail: hape schmid ∂does-not-exist.imk kit edu

Zielgruppe
Wissenschaftliche Mitarbeitende